ASDSO Dam Safety Toolbox

Risk Estimation: Difference between revisions

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“Risk estimates are inherently uncertain, with the nature and amount of uncertainty varying from dam to dam. It is important to acknowledge the uncertainty and put it into the proper context. The following aspects of uncertainty in risk estimates and the dam safety case should be discussed: what is certain; what is likely, but not certain; what is possible, but not likely”.<ref name="P-1025">[[Federal Guidelines for Dam Safety Risk Management (FEMA P-1025) | FEMA P-1025 Federal Guidelines for Dam Safety Risk Management, FEMA, 2015]]</ref>
“Risk estimates are inherently uncertain, with the nature and amount of uncertainty varying from dam to dam. It is important to acknowledge the uncertainty and put it into the proper context. The following aspects of uncertainty in risk estimates and the dam safety case should be discussed: what is certain; what is likely, but not certain; what is possible, but not likely”.<ref name="P-1025">[[Federal Guidelines for Dam Safety Risk Management (FEMA P-1025) | FEMA P-1025 Federal Guidelines for Dam Safety Risk Management, FEMA, 2015]]</ref>


==Components of Risk Estimation==
* [[Loading Conditions]]
* [[Loading Conditions]]
* [[Breach Estimation]]
* [[Breach Estimation]]

Revision as of 19:18, 16 September 2022



“Risk estimates are inherently uncertain, with the nature and amount of uncertainty varying from dam to dam. It is important to acknowledge the uncertainty and put it into the proper context. The following aspects of uncertainty in risk estimates and the dam safety case should be discussed: what is certain; what is likely, but not certain; what is possible, but not likely”.[1]

Trainings

On-Demand Webinar: Loss of Life Consequence Assessment for Dam Failure Scenarios


Citations:


Revision ID: 3493
Revision Date: 09/16/2022